Bread & Cereal Products - South Africa

South Africa

Revenue in the Bread & Bakery Products market amounts to €3.90bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 8.04% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (€255bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of €63.92 are generated in 2024.
In the Bread & Bakery Products market, volume is expected to amount to 1,841.00m kg by 2029. The Bread & Bakery Products market is expected to show a volume growth of 3.4% in 2025.
The average volume per person in the Bread & Bakery Products market is expected to amount to 25.3kg in 2024.

Key regions: Philippines, United States, Canada, India, China

Mercado

Región

Comparación de regiones

Moneda

Analyst Opinion

The Food market in South Africa has seen a minimal growth rate in the Bread & Cereal Products Market, influenced by factors such as rising health consciousness, increasing adoption of digital technologies, and the convenience of online health services. Other factors, such as changing dietary preferences and economic factors, also play a role in impacting the market's growth rate.

Customer preferences: As health and wellness become top priorities for South African consumers, the demand for bread and cereal products with natural and organic ingredients is on the rise. This trend is driven by a growing awareness of the benefits of a healthy diet and a desire for more sustainable and environmentally-friendly food options. Additionally, there has been a shift towards gluten-free and plant-based options, catering to the increasing number of consumers following special diets.

Trends in the market: In South Africa, the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is experiencing a shift towards healthier and more sustainable options. This trend is driven by increasing consumer awareness of the benefits of whole grains and plant-based proteins. Additionally, there is a growing demand for gluten-free and organic products. These trends are significant for industry stakeholders as they must adapt to changing consumer preferences and invest in innovative product offerings. Furthermore, there is potential for market growth as more health-conscious consumers seek out these products.

Local special circumstances: In South Africa, the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the country's diverse cultural and dietary preferences. The demand for maize-based products, such as pap and maize meal, is high due to their affordability and cultural significance. Additionally, the government's regulations on food fortification have led to an increase in the production and consumption of fortified cereals. Furthermore, the country's geographical location allows for the cultivation of various grains, making it a hub for cereal production in the region. These factors contribute to the unique dynamics of the Bread & Cereal Products Market in South Africa.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in South Africa is greatly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as economic growth, trade policies, and consumer spending patterns. The country's strong economic growth and stable fiscal policies have led to a growing middle class with higher disposable incomes, resulting in increased demand for convenience and packaged foods, including bread and cereal products. Furthermore, the rise in health-consciousness among consumers has also driven the market for healthier and organic bread and cereal options, as well as gluten-free alternatives. However, fluctuations in global commodity prices and currency exchange rates can impact the cost of raw materials and production, potentially affecting market performance.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.