The segment consists of both carbonated and non-carbonated water which is sold in bottles or via water dispensers. Various regulations at European and national levels define mineral water as natural ground water. Its composition and other characteristics must remain constant between certain tolerance levels. These regulations vary by region, nevertheless, Bottled Water often serves as a substitute for deficient tap water.
Globally important brand manufacturers are Nestlé (San Pellegrino, Vittel, Arrowhead and others), Danone (Volvic, Evian and others) and the Coca-Cola Company (Bonaqua, Apollinaris and others).
The market for Non-Alcoholic Drinks is structured into retail sales for at home consumption and on-premise or foodservice sales for out-of-home consumption. The at-home market, also called off-trade market, covers all retail sales via super- and hypermarkets, convenience stores or similar sales channels. The out-of-home market, also called on-trade market, away-from-home market or HORECA encompasses all sales to hotels, restaurants, catering, cafés, bars and similar hospitality service establishments. Both the at-home and the out-of-home market are valued at retail selling prices including all sales and consumption taxes. The valuation of the out-of-home segment at retail prices means a significant change of the market definition in comparison to earlier iterations of the Consumer Market Outlook, as out-of-home consumption was valued at wholesale prices before. This means, market totals are not comparable to published data from prior years. The price per unit always references liters as a base unit for both at-home and out-of-home consumption. One liter of beverage represents typical serving sizes of 2 to 5 glasses (0.2 to 0.5 liters).
When it comes to the share of stomach, bottled water competes with tap water as well as with soft drinks and juices. Consumption is high in countries with problematic water supply and/or countries where bottled water in the form of branded products with special properties (e.g., a high mineral content) has long been established. The recent growth has been fueled by a pervasive trend towards health and wellness across many countries.
The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on total consumer spending on Non-Alcoholic Drinks, which comprises all private household spending on Non-Alcoholic Drinks including at-home, out-of-home, as well as online and offline spendings.
Market sizes are determined through a Top-Down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending (e.g. consumer spending on Non-Alcoholic Drinks, consumer spending at Hotels, Restaurants etc.), and price level index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.
In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Non-Alcoholic Drinks market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.
The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.