The segment Soft Drinks covers varieties of prepared water-based beverages to which flavoring additives (sugar or sweeteners, aromas etc.) have been added. These include cola drinks and lemonades, but also energy drinks, fruit nectars and soft drinks with fruit juice content, as well as value-added or flavored water. Coffee and tea-based drinks are not included.
The Soft Drinks segment is structured into 3 subsegments:
Carbonated Soft Drinks denote all artificially sweetened and carbonated Non-Alcoholic Drinks.
Non-Carbonated Soft Drinks contain non-alcoholic liquid refreshment beverages that are not artificially carbonated.
The Energy & Sports Drinks segment includes energy drinks and sports drinks, providing functional benefits such as mental and physical stimulation.
The most important brand manufacturers in the Soft Drinks category are the Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Suntory, Red Bull and Keurig Dr Pepper. The market for Non-Alcoholic Drinks is structured into retail sales for at home consumption and on-premise or foodservice sales for out-of-home consumption. The at-home market, also called off-trade market, covers all retail sales via super- and hypermarkets, convenience stores or similar sales channels. The out-of-home market, also called on-trade market, away-from-home market or HORECA encompasses all sales to hotels, restaurants, catering, cafés, bars and similar hospitality service establishments. Both the at-home and the out-of-home market are valued at retail selling prices including all sales and consumption taxes. The valuation of the out-of-home segment at retail prices means a significant change of the market definition in comparison to earlier iterations of the Consumer Market Outlook, as out-of-home consumption was valued at wholesale prices before. This means, market totals are not comparable to published data from prior years. The price per unit always references liters as a base unit. One liter of Soft Drinks roughly equals 2 to 3 servings (of 0.5 or 0.33 liters each).
Carbonated Soft Drinks (Cola, Lemonade etc.)
Non-Carbonated Soft Drinks (nectars, value-added or flavoured water etc.)
Energy & Sports Drinks
Powdered drink mixes and syrups (e.g. Post-Mix Drinks)
Soft drinks are the biggest pillar on which the business of non-alcoholic drinks rests. The biggest players in the field – Coca Cola and PepsiCo – are, at their core, soft drink manufacturers. Business-wise, the segment is characterized by multinational brand players that mainly focus on product development and marketing and by regional bottlers that license their brands for distribution in selected areas. Strategically, the industry has witnessed both a trend towards streamlining operations as well as a hunt for novel products which could fill a niche.
The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on total consumer spending on Non-Alcoholic Drinks, which comprises all private household spending on Non-Alcoholic Drinks including at-home, out-of-home, as well as online and offline spendings.
Market sizes are determined through a Top-Down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending (e.g. consumer spending on Non-Alcoholic Drinks, consumer spending at Hotels, Restaurants etc.), and price level index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.
In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Non-Alcoholic Drinks market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.
The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.