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Flights - Portugal

Portugal

In 2024, it is projected that the Flights market in Portugal will generate a revenue of €1.41bn.
Moreover, the market is expected to grow annually by 3.81%, resulting in a market volume of €1.70bn by 2029.
The number of users in the Flights market is expected to reach 2.62m users by 2029, with a projected user penetration of 21.5% in 2024 and 26.0% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be €0.64k.
Additionally, by 2029, online sales will account for 87% of the total revenue generated in the Flights market.
It is noteworthy that United States is expected to generate the highest revenue in the Flights market, with a projected revenue of €132bn in 2024, in comparison to other countries.
Portugal's flag carrier, TAP Air Portugal, has expanded its network to include new destinations in Europe and the Americas, offering travelers more flight options.

Key regions: India, China, Europe, Indonesia, Thailand

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Analyst Opinion

The Flights market in Portugal has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by a combination of customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences: Portuguese customers have shown a strong preference for air travel due to its convenience and time-saving benefits. With an increasing number of people traveling for both leisure and business purposes, there has been a growing demand for flights within Portugal, as well as international destinations. Customers are also attracted to competitive pricing and a wide range of flight options, allowing them to choose the most convenient and cost-effective options for their travel needs.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Flights market in Portugal is the rise of low-cost carriers. These airlines offer affordable fares and have expanded their routes to include popular destinations across Europe. This has made air travel more accessible to a larger segment of the population, leading to an increase in the number of passengers and overall market growth. Another trend is the increasing popularity of online booking platforms and mobile applications. Customers now have the ability to easily compare prices, check flight availability, and make bookings from the comfort of their own homes or while on the go. This has streamlined the booking process and allowed for greater flexibility in travel planning.

Local special circumstances: Portugal's geographic location as a gateway to Europe and its strong tourism industry have contributed to the growth of the Flights market. The country's beautiful coastline, historic cities, and cultural attractions have attracted a large number of international tourists, creating a demand for flights to and from Portugal. Additionally, the presence of major international events and conferences has also driven the need for air travel.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Flights market in Portugal has benefited from a stable and growing economy. The country has seen an increase in disposable income and a rise in consumer confidence, leading to higher spending on travel and tourism. Additionally, Portugal's membership in the European Union has facilitated the movement of people and goods, making air travel an attractive option for both domestic and international travelers. In conclusion, the Flights market in Portugal is experiencing growth due to customer preferences for convenience and competitive pricing, the rise of low-cost carriers, the popularity of online booking platforms, the country's strong tourism industry, and favorable macroeconomic factors. As these trends continue to evolve, the market is expected to further expand and diversify in the coming years.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of flights.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.