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Flights - China

China

It has been projected that the Flights market in China will generate a revenue of €100.10bn by 2024.
Moreover, it is expected that the revenue will grow annually at a rate of 5.70% from 2024 to 2029, eventually reaching €132.10bn by 2029.
The number of users in this market is also expected to increase to 234.30m users by 2029.
The user penetration rate is estimated to be 13.4% in 2024 and 16.4% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be €0.52k.
Additionally, it is projected that 93% of the total revenue in this market will be generated through online sales by 2029.
Lastly, it is noteworthy that United States will generate the highest revenue compared to other countries in this market, with a revenue of €100.10bn in 2024.
China's domestic flight market has seen a surge in demand due to the country's rapid economic growth and increasing middle-class population.

Key regions: India, China, Europe, Indonesia, Thailand

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Analyst Opinion

China, being one of the world's largest countries by population and land area, has a rapidly developing Flights market. With a diverse range of destinations and a growing middle class, the demand for air travel in China has been on the rise in recent years.

Customer preferences: Chinese travelers have shown a strong preference for air travel due to its convenience and time-saving benefits. With the vast size of the country, flying allows people to reach their destinations quickly, especially for long-distance travel. Additionally, the increasing disposable income of the middle class has made air travel more affordable and accessible to a larger segment of the population.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Flights market in China is the growth of domestic travel. As more Chinese people have the means to travel within the country, domestic flights have experienced significant growth. This trend can be attributed to the rising middle class and the government's efforts to promote domestic tourism. Another trend in the market is the expansion of international flights. As China's economy continues to grow, more Chinese travelers are exploring destinations outside of the country. This has led to an increase in international flights, both to popular tourist destinations and business hubs around the world. Chinese airlines have been expanding their international routes and forming partnerships with foreign carriers to meet this growing demand.

Local special circumstances: China's geographic size and diverse landscapes present unique challenges and opportunities for the Flights market. The country's vast land area requires an extensive network of airports and air routes to connect different regions. This has led to the construction of new airports and the expansion of existing ones to accommodate the increasing demand for air travel. Additionally, China's government plays a significant role in shaping the Flights market. The government has invested heavily in the development of aviation infrastructure and has implemented policies to support the growth of the industry. These policies include the liberalization of air traffic rights, the establishment of low-cost carriers, and the promotion of tourism.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: China's rapid economic growth has been a driving force behind the development of the Flights market. The country's rising middle class has more disposable income to spend on travel, leading to increased demand for flights. Additionally, China's growing economy has attracted foreign investment and business travel, further boosting the demand for air travel. Furthermore, China's government has been actively promoting the Flights market as part of its efforts to stimulate economic growth and boost tourism. The government's investments in infrastructure and the liberalization of air traffic rights have created a favorable environment for the growth of the industry. In conclusion, the Flights market in China is experiencing significant growth due to the increasing demand for air travel among the country's growing middle class. Domestic travel and international flights are both on the rise, driven by factors such as convenience, affordability, and government support. With continued economic growth and government investment, the Flights market in China is expected to continue its upward trajectory in the coming years.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of flights.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.