Industry Metal Derivatives - China

China

The nominal value in the Industry Metal Derivatives market is projected to reach €2.60tn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 2.63% resulting in a projected total amount of €2.96tn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Industry Metal Derivatives market amounts to €0.01 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in China (€2,602.00bn in 2024).
In the Industry Metal Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 566.20m by 2029.

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Analyst Opinion

The metal derivatives market in China is experiencing significant growth and development. Customer preferences in the metal derivatives market in China are driven by a strong demand for risk management tools and investment opportunities.

Investors and companies are increasingly turning to metal derivatives to hedge against price volatility and diversify their portfolios. Trends in the market show a shift towards more sophisticated trading strategies and the introduction of new products to meet the evolving needs of investors. As China continues to play a major role in the global economy, the metal derivatives market is becoming more integrated with international markets, leading to increased liquidity and trading volumes.

Local special circumstances, such as government regulations and market infrastructure, play a crucial role in shaping the metal derivatives market in China. The government's support for the development of financial markets and the promotion of derivative trading have created a favorable environment for growth in the industry. Underlying macroeconomic factors, including economic growth, industrial production, and global trade dynamics, also influence the metal derivatives market in China.

As the country's economy continues to expand and industrial activities drive demand for metals, the market for metal derivatives is expected to further evolve and expand in the coming years.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.