Commodities - China

China

The nominal value in the Commodities market is projected to reach €21,640.00bn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 1.55% resulting in a projected total amount of €23,370.00bn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Commodities market amounts to €0.01 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (€49,270.00bn in 2024).
In the Commodities market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 2,942,000.00k by 2029.

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Comparación de regiones

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Analyst Opinion

The Commodities market in China is experiencing a significant shift in recent years, driven by various factors influencing customer preferences, market trends, and local special circumstances.

Customer preferences: Chinese investors are increasingly turning to Commodities as a way to diversify their investment portfolios and hedge against market volatility. The appeal of Commodities lies in their potential for high returns and as a way to spread risk across different asset classes.

Trends in the market: One notable trend in the Chinese Commodities market is the growing popularity of online trading platforms. These platforms offer convenience and accessibility to a wider range of investors, contributing to the overall growth of the market. Additionally, the integration of technology and data analytics is helping investors make more informed decisions when trading Commodities.

Local special circumstances: China's strong economic growth and increasing integration into the global market have created a favorable environment for Commodities trading. The government's efforts to liberalize the financial sector and attract foreign investment have also played a role in shaping the Commodities market in the country.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The overall economic stability and growth of China have provided a solid foundation for the development of the Commodities market. As the country continues to urbanize and industrialize, there is a growing demand for Commodities to support infrastructure development and manufacturing activities. Additionally, China's position as a major global player in trade and finance further boosts the attractiveness of the Commodities market in the country.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.