Market Insights Consumer Food Sauces & Spices

Tomato Ketchup - Canada

Canada

Revenue in the Tomato Ketchup market amounts to €270.10m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 9.83% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated in the United States (€5,631m in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of €6.91 are generated in 2024.
In the Tomato Ketchup market, volume is expected to amount to 123.60m kg by 2029. The Tomato Ketchup market is expected to show a volume growth of 6.1% in 2025.
The average volume per person in the Tomato Ketchup market is expected to amount to 2.2kg in 2024.

Key regions: United States, United Kingdom, Japan, South Korea, Canada

Mercado

Región

Comparación de regiones

Moneda

Analyst Opinion

The Tomato Ketchup market in Canada is seeing minimal growth due to factors such as changing consumer preferences, increasing competition, and slow economic growth. Despite this, the market is expected to experience steady growth in the coming years thanks to the convenience and versatility of ketchup as a condiment.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Canada are increasingly gravitating towards healthier and more natural food options, which has led to a rise in demand for organic and all-natural tomato ketchup. This trend is driven by a growing awareness of the negative health effects of artificial additives and preservatives in traditional ketchup products. Additionally, there is a growing interest in ethnic and international flavors, leading to an increase in demand for globally-inspired ketchup flavors such as chipotle and curry. These shifts in consumer preferences are also influenced by a growing focus on sustainable and eco-friendly food choices.

Trends in the market: In Canada, the Tomato Ketchup market is experiencing a surge in demand for organic and natural varieties, as consumers become more health-conscious and seek out cleaner label options. This trend is expected to continue, with companies investing in product innovation and marketing efforts to cater to this growing segment. Additionally, there is a rising trend of incorporating global flavors and bold taste profiles in ketchup products, catering to the diverse palates of Canadian consumers. These trends are significant as they highlight the evolving preferences of consumers and present opportunities for industry stakeholders to capitalize on by offering differentiated and innovative products. Moreover, with the increasing focus on sustainability and ethical sourcing, there is a potential for companies to tap into the growing demand for sustainable and locally sourced ingredients in ketchup production.

Local special circumstances: In Canada, the Tomato Ketchup market is heavily influenced by the country's multicultural population, with a demand for diverse flavors and ingredients. Additionally, the country's strict labeling laws require clear and accurate information on product packaging, leading to a focus on high-quality, natural ingredients. The market is also impacted by Canada's cold climate, which limits the availability of fresh tomatoes and drives the popularity of shelf-stable ketchup options. These factors contribute to a unique and competitive market in Canada's Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market in Canada is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending, population growth, and trade policies. With a stable economy and a growing population, there is a high demand for convenience foods like ketchup. However, trade policies such as tariffs and restrictions on imported ingredients can impact the cost and availability of products, ultimately affecting market performance. Additionally, changing consumer preferences and trends towards healthier options are also influencing the market, with manufacturers investing in innovative, low-sugar, and organic ketchup options to cater to these demands.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.