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Flights - Norway

Norway

It is projected that the Flights market in Norway will experience a significant growth in revenue, reaching €1.91bn by 2024.
Moreover, the market is expected to show an annual growth rate of 3.15% from 2024 to 2029, resulting in a projected market volume of €2.23bn by 2029.
By 2029, the number of users in the Flights market is expected to reach 2.10m users.
In terms of user penetration, it is projected to be 33.8% in 2024 and 36.7% by 2029.
The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to €1.02k.
By 2029, 95% of the total revenue in the Flights market is anticipated to be generated through online sales.
It is noteworthy that in the global comparison, United States is expected to generate the most revenue in the Flights market, reaching €132bn in 2024.
Norway's flight market is dominated by SAS and Norwegian Air, with the latter experiencing financial challenges in recent years.

Key regions: India, China, Europe, Indonesia, Thailand

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Analyst Opinion

The Flights market in Norway has been experiencing steady growth in recent years. Customer preferences have shifted towards more affordable and convenient travel options, leading to an increase in the number of flights and passengers. This growth can be attributed to several trends in the market, as well as local special circumstances and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences: In line with global trends, Norwegian customers are increasingly seeking affordable travel options. Low-cost carriers have gained popularity in recent years, offering competitive prices and a wider range of destinations. Additionally, customers are placing a greater emphasis on convenience and flexibility, opting for direct flights and flexible booking options. This has led to an increase in demand for flights that cater to these preferences.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Norwegian flights market is the expansion of low-cost carriers. These airlines have been able to capture a significant market share by offering competitive prices and a streamlined travel experience. As a result, traditional full-service airlines have had to adapt their business models to remain competitive. Another trend in the market is the growth of regional airports. With the increase in demand for flights, regional airports have become more important as they offer convenient access to smaller towns and cities. This has led to an increase in the number of flights operating from these airports, providing more options for travelers.

Local special circumstances: Norway's unique geography and topography play a significant role in shaping the flights market. The country's long coastline and numerous fjords make air travel a convenient mode of transportation, especially for domestic travel. Additionally, the popularity of outdoor activities such as hiking and skiing attracts tourists from around the world, further driving the demand for flights.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: Norway's strong economy and high levels of disposable income contribute to the growth of the flights market. As people have more money to spend on travel, they are more likely to take flights for both leisure and business purposes. Furthermore, the country's well-developed infrastructure and efficient transportation system make air travel a convenient and reliable option for both domestic and international travel. In conclusion, the Flights market in Norway is developing in response to customer preferences for affordable and convenient travel options. The growth of low-cost carriers, expansion of regional airports, unique geographical circumstances, and strong macroeconomic factors all contribute to the increasing demand for flights in Norway.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of flights.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.