Natural Gas - Canada

  • Canada
  • Electricity generation in the Natural Gas market in Canada is projected to reach 86.11bn kWh in 2024.
  • An annual growth rate of 2.43% is anticipated for the period from 2024 to 2029 (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In Canada, the natural gas market is experiencing increased interest in derivatives as energy companies hedge against fluctuating prices amid evolving climate policies.

Key regions: Brazil, Austria, Japan, Australia, France

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Natural Gas market in Canada is experiencing subdued growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating demand, regulatory challenges, and competition from renewable energy sources. These elements are shaping the market's trajectory within the broader Energy sector.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in Canada are increasingly prioritizing sustainability and environmental responsibility, leading to a growing demand for cleaner energy alternatives, including renewable natural gas. This shift is influenced by a younger demographic that values eco-friendly practices and seeks to reduce their carbon footprint. Additionally, urbanization trends are prompting households to adopt energy-efficient technologies, spurring interest in smart home systems that optimize natural gas usage. These evolving lifestyle factors are reshaping the natural gas market dynamics within the broader energy landscape.

Trends in the market:
In Canada, the Natural Gas market is experiencing a surge in interest for renewable natural gas (RNG) as consumers prioritize sustainability and environmental consciousness. Urbanization is driving the adoption of energy-efficient technologies, such as smart thermostats and home automation systems, which optimize natural gas consumption. Additionally, government incentives for cleaner energy solutions are encouraging industry stakeholders to invest in RNG production and distribution. This shift not only impacts energy companies but also influences regulatory frameworks and consumer behavior, shaping the future of Canada’s energy landscape.

Local special circumstances:
In Canada, the Natural Gas market is shaped by its vast geographical diversity and rich resource base, with significant reserves located in provinces like Alberta and British Columbia. The cultural emphasis on environmental stewardship is prompting a shift towards Renewable Natural Gas (RNG), appealing to eco-conscious consumers. Regulatory frameworks at both federal and provincial levels are increasingly supportive of clean energy initiatives, further incentivizing investment in RNG production. This unique blend of local factors drives innovation and collaboration among industry stakeholders, ultimately redefining Canada’s energy landscape.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Natural Gas market in Canada is influenced by several macroeconomic factors, including global energy demand, national economic conditions, and fiscal policies aimed at promoting clean energy. As global shifts towards sustainable energy sources gain momentum, Canadian natural gas is increasingly positioned as a transitional fuel, benefiting from strong export opportunities, particularly to Asia. National economic stability, characterized by robust GDP growth and low unemployment, supports investment in natural gas infrastructure. Additionally, government incentives for clean technology and carbon reduction initiatives are fostering innovation in Renewable Natural Gas (RNG), enhancing the market's adaptability to changing consumer preferences and environmental regulations.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2B enterprises. Figures are based on the value of electricity production in the energy market.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as annual reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, national statistical offices, international institutions, and the experience of our analysts.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting electricity generation due to the non-linear growth of this market, especially because of the direct impact of climate change on the market.

Additional notes:

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Visión general

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