Coal - Canada

  • Canada
  • In Canada, electricity generation in the Coal market is projected to reach 35.98bn kWh in 2024.
  • The market is anticipated to experience an annual growth rate of -3.23% during the period from 2024 to 2029.
  • In Canada, the coal market is increasingly facing pressure as the transition to renewable energy sources accelerates, impacting future investment strategies.

Key regions: Austria, Japan, China, Australia, United States

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Coal Market within the Fossil Fuels sector in Canada is experiencing a decline, influenced by factors such as environmental regulations, increased competition from renewable energy sources, and shifting public perceptions regarding fossil fuel use.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in Canada are increasingly prioritizing sustainable energy sources, leading to a noticeable decline in coal consumption as public awareness of climate change grows. Younger generations, influenced by environmental activism, are advocating for greener alternatives, which has shifted demand towards renewable energy solutions. Furthermore, demographic changes, such as urbanization and a rising eco-conscious population, are driving a cultural shift where energy efficiency and sustainability are becoming essential considerations in purchasing and investment decisions.

Trends in the market:
In Canada, the coal market is experiencing a significant decline as consumers increasingly favor renewable energy sources amid growing climate awareness. The shift is particularly evident among younger demographics, who are pushing for greener alternatives and sustainable practices. Additionally, urbanization is fostering a culture that prioritizes energy efficiency and sustainability in both personal and industrial energy choices. This trend poses challenges for coal industry stakeholders, necessitating adaptation strategies, investment in cleaner technologies, and a reevaluation of long-term business models to remain viable in a transitioning energy landscape.

Local special circumstances:
In Canada, the coal market is uniquely influenced by stringent regulatory frameworks aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions, reflecting the country's commitment to climate agreements. Provinces like British Columbia and Alberta have enacted policies to phase out coal-fired power plants, aligning with public sentiment favoring clean energy. Moreover, Canada's vast natural resources, including hydroelectric power, provide viable alternatives to coal, leading to a decline in its demand. Cultural shifts towards environmental stewardship, particularly among Indigenous communities, further emphasize the need for sustainable practices, shaping the coal industry's future.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The coal market in Canada is significantly shaped by macroeconomic factors such as government policies, energy transition trends, and international market dynamics. With global coal demand declining due to a shift towards renewable energy, Canadian provinces are accelerating the transition to cleaner energy sources, supported by federal initiatives promoting sustainability. Economic health indicators, such as GDP growth and investment in alternative energy, also play a critical role in reducing reliance on coal. Furthermore, fluctuating fossil fuel prices and international climate commitments are driving investment away from coal, reflecting a broader global trend towards decarbonization and energy diversification.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2B enterprises. Figures are based on the value of electricity production in the energy market.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as annual reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, national statistical offices, international institutions, and the experience of our analysts.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting electricity generation due to the non-linear growth of this market, especially because of the direct impact of climate change on the market.

Additional notes:

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Visión general

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