Industry Metal Derivatives - United States

United States

The nominal value in the Industry Metal Derivatives market is projected to reach €2.34tn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 5.30% resulting in a projected total amount of €3.03tn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Industry Metal Derivatives market amounts to €0.06 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in China (€2,629.00bn in 2024).
In the Industry Metal Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 42.48m by 2029.

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Analyst Opinion

The Industry Metal Derivatives market in United States is experiencing a significant growth trajectory.

Customer preferences: Customers in the United States are increasingly turning to metal derivatives as a way to diversify their investment portfolios and hedge against market volatility. The convenience and flexibility of trading metal derivatives on various exchanges are attracting a wide range of investors, from institutional players to individual traders.

Trends in the market: One notable trend in the United States metal derivatives market is the growing popularity of gold and silver derivatives. As safe-haven assets, gold and silver derivatives are in high demand during times of economic uncertainty or inflation concerns. Additionally, the increasing interest in green initiatives and sustainable investing is driving the demand for metal derivatives linked to environmentally friendly metals like copper and aluminum.

Local special circumstances: The United States market for metal derivatives is uniquely influenced by geopolitical factors and trade policies. Tariffs, trade agreements, and domestic economic conditions can have a significant impact on metal prices, thus affecting the derivatives market. The country's strong regulatory framework and advanced financial infrastructure also contribute to the robust growth of metal derivatives trading.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The performance of the United States economy, including factors like GDP growth, inflation rates, and interest rates, plays a crucial role in shaping the metal derivatives market. Economic indicators influence investor sentiment and risk appetite, impacting the demand for metal derivatives as financial instruments for speculation and risk management. Moreover, global economic trends and geopolitical events can create both opportunities and challenges for the metal derivatives market in the United States.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.