Agricultural Product Derivatives - United States

United States

The nominal value in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market is projected to reach €11.43tn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 1.13% resulting in a projected total amount of €12.09tn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Agricultural Product Derivatives market amounts to €0.02 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (€11,430.00bn in 2024).
In the Agricultural Product Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 592.60m by 2029.

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Analyst Opinion

The Agricultural Product Derivatives market in United States is a dynamic and evolving sector driven by various factors. Customer preferences in the United States for Agricultural Product Derivatives are influenced by a variety of factors such as risk management, speculation, and portfolio diversification.

Investors and traders often seek these derivatives as a way to hedge against price fluctuations in the agricultural markets or to capitalize on potential price movements. Trends in the market show a growing interest in Agricultural Product Derivatives in the United States, with an increasing number of participants entering the market. This trend can be attributed to the development of advanced trading technologies, which have made it easier for investors to access and trade these derivatives.

Additionally, the integration of agricultural derivatives into broader investment strategies has also contributed to the market's growth. Local special circumstances, such as the United States being a major producer and exporter of agricultural commodities, play a significant role in shaping the Agricultural Product Derivatives market in the country. The abundance of agricultural products in the United States creates a robust market for derivatives linked to these commodities, attracting both domestic and international investors.

Underlying macroeconomic factors, including global trade dynamics, government policies, and weather conditions, also impact the Agricultural Product Derivatives market in the United States. Changes in trade agreements, subsidies, or natural disasters can have a significant influence on the prices of agricultural commodities and, consequently, on the derivatives linked to them. As a result, market participants closely monitor these macroeconomic factors to make informed trading decisions.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.