Traditional Banks - Europe

  • Europe
  • In 2024, the projected Net Interest Income in the Traditional Banks market market of Europe is estimated to reach €0.75tn.
  • Traditional Commercial Banking is expected to dominate the market with a projected market volume of €0.49tn in the same year.
  • The Net Interest Income is anticipated to display an annual growth rate of 2.29% (CAGR 2024-2029), resulting in a market volume of €0.84tn by 2029.
  • When compared globally, China is projected to generate the highest Net Interest Income of €3,588.0bn in 2024.
  • In Germany, traditional banks are facing increased competition from digital banks, leading to a shift in customer preferences.

Key regions: Germany, United Kingdom, France, Japan, China

 
Mercado
 
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Comparación de regiones
 
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Analyst Opinion

Amidst the changing landscape of the financial industry in Europe, the Traditional Banks market is witnessing notable trends and developments.

Customer preferences:
Customers in Europe are increasingly seeking personalized and convenient banking services, prompting traditional banks to enhance their digital offerings and customer experiences. The demand for seamless online banking solutions and mobile banking apps is on the rise, driving traditional banks to invest in technology to meet these evolving preferences.

Trends in the market:
In countries like Germany and France, traditional banks are facing growing competition from digital banks and fintech companies. As a result, many traditional banks are focusing on digital transformation initiatives to streamline their operations, reduce costs, and improve efficiency. Additionally, there is a trend towards sustainable banking practices, with traditional banks in Europe incorporating environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria into their decision-making processes.

Local special circumstances:
In the United Kingdom, Brexit has had a significant impact on the traditional banking sector, leading to uncertainty and changing regulations. Traditional banks in the UK are navigating this challenging landscape by adjusting their strategies to mitigate risks and capitalize on new opportunities that may arise post-Brexit. In Eastern European countries, traditional banks are expanding their presence and services to cater to the growing demand for banking products in these emerging markets.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The low-interest-rate environment in Europe is putting pressure on traditional banks' profitability, leading them to explore alternative revenue streams and cost-cutting measures. Economic uncertainties, such as the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, are also influencing the traditional banking sector in Europe, prompting banks to reassess their risk management practices and capital adequacy levels to ensure financial stability in the face of external shocks.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data encompasses B2B and B2C enterprises. Figures are based on Net Interest Income, Bank Account Penetration rate, the value of Deposits, the number of depositors, the value of Loans, the number of borrowers, Credit Card Interest Income, the number of ATMs as well as the number of Bank Branches.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a combined Top-Down and Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use data provided by the IMF, World Bank and the annual reports of the top 1000 Banks by asset size. Next we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, deposit interest rates, lending interest rates or bank account penetration rates. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited to forecast financial services for digital as well as traditional products and services.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.

Visión general

  • Net Interest Income
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Deposits
  • Loans
  • Credit Card Interest Income
  • ATMs & Bank Branches
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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