Data coverage:
Data encompasses enterprises (B2B). Figures are based on Retail platform ad spending and exclude agency commissions, rebates, production costs, and taxes. The market covers advertising by businesses for digital advertisements.
Modeling approach:
Market sizes are determined by a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party reports, and survey results from our primary research (e.g., Consumer Insights). Next, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, internet users, and digital consumer spending. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.
Forecasts:
In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function is well suited to forecast digital products due to the non-linear growth of technology adoption, whereas exponential trend smoothing (ETS) is more suited for projecting steady growth in traditional advertising markets.
Additional notes:
Data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice per year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad-hoc basis (e.g., when new relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development).
