Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles - China

  • China
  • In 2024, the projected revenue in the Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles market is forecasted to reach a staggering amount of €153.6bn.
  • Looking ahead, it is expected that the revenue will exhibit a steady annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of -5.56%.
  • This growth trajectory will result in a projected market volume of approximately €115.4bn by 2029.
  • Furthermore, it is anticipated that the unit sales in the Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles market will reach 1.98m vehicles by 2029.
  • When considering the volume weighted average price of Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles market in 2024, it is estimated to be €57.8k.
  • Notably, it is worth mentioning that the country leading in terms of revenue generation within this market segment is China.
  • In 2024 alone, [maxRevenueMarketCurrentYearName] is projected to generate a revenue of €153.6bn.
  • China is experiencing a surge in demand for Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles, driven by government incentives and a growing awareness of environmental sustainability.

Key regions: China, Norway, United Kingdom, Netherlands, France

 
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Analyst Opinion

China is the largest market for Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs) in the world, with a rapidly growing demand for these vehicles. Customer preferences, trends in the market, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors all contribute to the development of the PHEV market in China.

Customer preferences:
Chinese consumers are increasingly concerned about environmental issues and are looking for more sustainable transportation options. PHEVs offer a solution by combining the benefits of electric vehicles with the convenience of internal combustion engines. The ability to switch between electric and gasoline power provides flexibility and addresses range anxiety, which is a common concern among consumers. Furthermore, the availability of government subsidies and incentives for PHEV purchases makes them an attractive option for cost-conscious buyers.

Trends in the market:
The PHEV market in China has been experiencing significant growth in recent years. This can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, the Chinese government has implemented policies to promote the adoption of new energy vehicles, including PHEVs. These policies include subsidies, tax breaks, and license plate restrictions, which encourage consumers to choose PHEVs over conventional vehicles. Secondly, automakers are investing heavily in the development and production of PHEVs to meet the growing demand. They are introducing new models with improved battery technologies and longer electric ranges, making PHEVs more appealing to consumers. Additionally, the charging infrastructure for electric vehicles is rapidly expanding in China, making it easier for PHEV owners to charge their vehicles.

Local special circumstances:
China faces unique challenges in terms of air pollution and energy security. The country has been grappling with severe air pollution issues, particularly in major cities, which has led to increased public awareness and government action to reduce emissions. PHEVs are seen as a transitional technology that can help reduce pollution while the country transitions to fully electric vehicles. Additionally, China is heavily dependent on imported oil, and promoting the use of PHEVs can help reduce oil consumption and enhance energy security.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
China's growing middle class and rising disposable incomes have contributed to the increasing demand for PHEVs. As more Chinese consumers enter the middle class, they have the financial means to afford PHEVs and are willing to pay a premium for environmentally friendly vehicles. Furthermore, the Chinese government's focus on developing a domestic electric vehicle industry has led to significant investments in research and development, manufacturing capabilities, and supply chain infrastructure. This has resulted in a competitive domestic market for PHEVs, with Chinese automakers offering a wide range of models to cater to different consumer preferences. In conclusion, the PHEV market in China is developing rapidly due to customer preferences for sustainable transportation options, government policies and incentives, advancements in battery technology, expanding charging infrastructure, air pollution concerns, energy security considerations, and the growing middle class. These factors are driving the demand for PHEVs and shaping the future of the automotive industry in China.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the sales of new passenger cars. Data on the specifications of the sold vehicles is based on the base models of the respective makes.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use company reports and websites, vehicle registries, car dealers, and environment agencies among other sources. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP and car stock per capita. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, we use the ARIMA model for the Passenger Cars market. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year. In some cases, the data is updated on an ad hoc basis (e.g., when new, relevant data has been released or significant changes within the market have an impact on the projected development).

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