Oil - China

  • China
  • In China, electricity generation within the Oil market is projected to reach 69.43bn kWh in 2025.
  • The annual growth rate is expected to be 4.34%, representing the CAGR for the period from 2025 to 2029.
  • China's increasing focus on renewable energy sources is reshaping its oil derivatives market, driving demand for innovative financial instruments amidst environmental concerns.

Key regions: United States, Australia, France, China, Spain

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Oil Market within the Fossil Fuels sector in China is experiencing modest growth, influenced by factors such as shifting energy policies, increasing renewable energy investments, and a growing emphasis on environmental sustainability, which challenges traditional oil demand.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in China are increasingly prioritizing eco-friendly transportation options, leading to a notable shift towards electric vehicles (EVs) and hybrid models, which are perceived as more sustainable alternatives to traditional gasoline cars. This trend is influenced by a rising awareness of air pollution and climate change, particularly among younger demographics. Additionally, urbanization and a growing middle class are prompting a preference for car-sharing services, further reducing reliance on fossil fuels. These evolving lifestyle factors reflect a broader cultural shift towards sustainability and environmental responsibility.

Trends in the market:
In China, the fossil fuels market is increasingly affected by a decline in oil demand, driven by a rapid shift towards renewable energy sources and electric vehicles (EVs). Consumers are embracing alternatives to traditional gasoline vehicles, spurred by government incentives and heightened environmental awareness. Major cities are expanding public transportation and promoting car-sharing initiatives, further diminishing fossil fuel consumption. This shift presents significant implications for oil companies, necessitating adaptation strategies, diversification into cleaner energy solutions, and investments in sustainable technologies to remain competitive in a transforming market landscape.

Local special circumstances:
In China, the oil market is uniquely shaped by a combination of urbanization, government policies, and cultural attitudes towards sustainability. Rapid urban growth has led to increased public transportation investments, reducing reliance on personal vehicles. The Chinese government actively promotes electric vehicle adoption through subsidies and infrastructure development, reflecting a cultural shift towards environmental responsibility. Additionally, stringent regulations on emissions and a commitment to carbon neutrality by 2060 further accelerate the transition away from fossil fuels, compelling oil companies to innovate and adapt.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The oil market in China is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as global oil prices, domestic economic growth, and government policy initiatives. As the world's second-largest economy, China's demand for energy is closely tied to its industrial output and urbanization trends, which can fluctuate based on global economic conditions. Additionally, fiscal policies promoting clean energy and green technology investments are reshaping the energy landscape, pushing oil companies to diversify their portfolios. International trade dynamics and geopolitical tensions also impact oil supply chains, further complicating market performance and necessitating strategic adaptations from domestic oil producers.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2B enterprises. Figures are based on the value of electricity production in the energy market.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as annual reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, national statistical offices, international institutions, and the experience of our analysts.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting electricity generation due to the non-linear growth of this market, especially because of the direct impact of climate change on the market.

Additional notes:

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

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