Private Equity - Southern Europe

  • Southern Europe
  • In Southern Europe, the deal value in the Private Equity market is projected to reach €49.97bn in 2024.
  • It is anticipated to exhibit an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2025) of 4.80%, which will result in a projected total amount of €52.37bn by 2025.
  • The average size per deal in the Private Equity market in Southern Europe is expected to be €59.64m in 2024.
  • A global comparison indicates that the highest deal value is achieved in the United States, where it stands at €545,100.00m in 2024.
  • In the Private Equity market in Southern_Europe, the number of deals is expected to reach 1.00k by 2025.
  • In Southern Europe, particularly Spain, the Private Equity market is increasingly focusing on technology and renewable energy investments to drive sustainable growth.
 
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Analyst Opinion

The Private Equity market in Southern Europe has shown a minimal decline in growth, influenced by economic uncertainties, evolving regulatory frameworks, and shifting investor sentiment, which collectively impact deal-making activities and capital deployment in the region.

Customer preferences:
In the context of the Private Equity market in Southern Europe, investors are increasingly gravitating towards sustainable and socially responsible ventures, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences driven by a heightened awareness of environmental and social issues. This trend is particularly evident among younger demographics, who prioritize brands that align with their values, influencing deal structures and investment strategies. Furthermore, the rise of digitalization is prompting a focus on tech-oriented companies, particularly in sectors such as e-commerce and fintech, as they cater to evolving consumer behaviors and lifestyles.

Trends in the market:
In Southern Europe, the Private Equity market is increasingly favoring sustainable investments, with a notable uptick in funds directed towards socially responsible enterprises. This shift is being propelled by younger investors who demand transparency and alignment with ethical values, affecting both fundraising and deal-making processes. Additionally, the surge in digital transformation is steering investment towards tech-driven sectors such as e-commerce and fintech, as these industries are well-positioned to meet changing consumer expectations and lifestyles. This dual focus not only supports economic growth but also reinforces the significance of responsible investing among industry stakeholders.

Local special circumstances:
In Southern Europe, the Private Equity market is shaped by distinct local factors, such as a strong emphasis on family-owned businesses and a rich cultural heritage that values sustainability. Regional regulations are also adapting to encourage environmentally responsible practices, creating a favorable environment for impact investing. Additionally, varying economic conditions across countries like Italy and Spain influence investment strategies, leading to heightened interest in local startups that embody cultural uniqueness. These elements collectively enhance the appeal of the market to socially conscious investors, driving growth in sustainable ventures.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Private Equity market in Southern Europe is significantly influenced by overarching macroeconomic factors, particularly central bank policies and interest rates. Lower interest rates, often adopted to stimulate economic growth, can enhance access to capital for private equity firms, enabling them to finance acquisitions and support portfolio company growth. Conversely, rising rates may lead to increased borrowing costs, potentially dampening investment activity. Furthermore, macroeconomic stability, characterized by GDP growth and low unemployment, fosters investor confidence and encourages capital inflows into private equity. These dynamics collectively shape the landscape for private equity investments, impacting performance and strategy in the region.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The figures are based on deal value, number of deals, the average size of each deal, and assets under management within the Private Equity market.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined through a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of key players, industry reports, third-party reports, and publicly available databases. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as: GDP, total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), high income (% of population), and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI). This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are total investment (% of GDP), household wealth (per Adult), number of high-income persons, and number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWI).

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.

Visión general

  • Deal Value
  • Average Deal Size
  • Number of Deals
  • Assets Under Management (AUM)
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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