Precious Metal Derivatives - India

India

The nominal value in the Precious Metal Derivatives market is projected to reach €300.90bn in 2024.
It is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 1.69% resulting in a projected total amount of €327.20bn by 2029.
The average price per contract in the Precious Metal Derivatives market amounts to €0.00 in 2024.
From a global comparison perspective it is shown that the highest nominal value is reached in the United States (€10,940.00bn in 2024).
In the Precious Metal Derivatives market, the number of contracts is expected to amount to 104.30m by 2029.

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Analyst Opinion

The Precious Metal Derivatives market in India has been experiencing a notable surge in activity and interest among investors and traders.

Customer preferences: Investors in India have shown a growing appetite for diversifying their portfolios with alternative investment options like Precious Metal Derivatives. The appeal lies in the potential for hedging against inflation and economic uncertainties, as well as the opportunity for speculative trading.

Trends in the market: One prominent trend in the Precious Metal Derivatives market in India is the increasing participation of retail investors. With easier access to online trading platforms and a growing awareness of financial markets, retail investors are actively engaging in trading gold and silver derivatives. Moreover, the introduction of innovative derivative products tailored to retail investors has further fueled this trend.

Local special circumstances: India has a deep cultural affinity towards gold, making it one of the largest consumers of gold globally. This cultural significance of gold translates into a unique market dynamic for Precious Metal Derivatives in the country. The demand for gold derivatives is not only driven by investment purposes but also by cultural events and festivals where gold plays a significant role.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The macroeconomic landscape in India, characterized by a large and diverse economy, plays a crucial role in shaping the Precious Metal Derivatives market. Factors such as inflation rates, interest rates, and government policies directly impact investor sentiment towards gold and silver derivatives. Additionally, currency fluctuations and global economic trends influence the pricing and trading volume of these derivatives in the Indian market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

Figures are based on commodity derivatives, their notional value, the number of contracts traded, the open interest (outstanding contracts at the end of a year), and the average value of a contract.

Modeling approach / Market size:

Market sizes are determined by a Bottom-Up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use market research & analysis, and data of World Bank, as well as the World Federation of Exchanges. Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations and national data bureaus such as GDP, wealth per capita, and the online banking penetration rate. This data helps us to estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. In this market, we use the HOLT-damped Trend method to forecast future development. The main drivers are GDP per capita an the online banking penetration rate.

Additional Notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change.