Milk - Worldwide

  • Worldwide
  • Gross production value in Milk market is projected to amount to €0.45tn in 2025. An annual growth rate of 2.67% is expected (CAGR 2025-2029), resulting in gross production value of €0.50tn in 2029.
  • The import value in Milk market is projected to amount to €6.4bn in 2025. An annual growth rate of 2.71% is expected (CAGR 2025–2029).
  • The export value in Milk market is projected to amount to €6.0bn in 2025. An annual growth rate of 2.57% is expected (CAGR 2025–2029).

Key regions: United Kingdom, United States, Italy, Spain, Brazil

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Milk Market within the Agriculture sector is witnessing moderate growth globally, influenced by factors such as fluctuating consumer preferences, rising production costs, and increasing competition from plant-based alternatives, which are reshaping traditional dairy consumption patterns.

Customer preferences:
Consumers are increasingly gravitating towards lactose-free and plant-based milk alternatives, reflecting a growing awareness of dietary restrictions and health considerations. This trend is particularly pronounced among younger demographics, who prioritize sustainability and ethical sourcing in their purchasing decisions. Additionally, cultural influences are shaping preferences, with diverse populations seeking products that align with traditional dietary practices. The rise of social media has further amplified these trends, as consumers share experiences and recommendations, driving demand for innovative milk products that cater to evolving lifestyles.

Trends in the market:
In the global Milk Market, there is a notable shift towards lactose-free and plant-based milk alternatives, driven by increasing consumer awareness of health and dietary needs. In North America, this trend is gaining momentum as younger generations prioritize sustainability and ethical sourcing. Meanwhile, in Asia, traditional dairy preferences are evolving, with a growing interest in innovative milk products that cater to local tastes. In Europe, social media plays a crucial role in amplifying these trends, as consumers actively share product experiences, influencing purchasing decisions and driving demand for diverse, health-conscious options.

Local special circumstances:
In New Zealand, the Milk Market thrives due to the country’s rich pastoral land and favorable climate for dairy farming, making it a global leader in milk production. The strong emphasis on sustainability and environmental stewardship resonates with both local and international consumers. In China, rapid urbanization and rising disposable incomes are transforming dietary habits, with a notable shift towards premium dairy products that align with health trends. Meanwhile, in Germany, strict regulatory standards ensure high-quality milk production, influencing consumer trust and preference for organic and locally sourced dairy products.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Milk Market is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as global demand shifts, trade policies, and national economic health. In New Zealand, stable economic growth and favorable trade agreements bolster dairy exports, while investments in sustainable farming practices enhance competitiveness. In China, increasing urbanization and disposable incomes drive demand for premium dairy products, prompting domestic producers to adapt. Conversely, Germany’s stringent regulations and focus on organic production reflect consumer preferences for quality, supported by economic stability and robust fiscal policies that promote local agriculture. These dynamics collectively shape the global milk market landscape.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2B. Figures are based on the value of gross production in the agriculture market, which values of production are calculated by multiplying gross production by output prices at the farm gate.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, national statistical offices, international institutions, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting agriculture products due to the non-linear growth of this market, especially because of the direct impact of climate change on the market.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Visión general

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  • Methodology
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