Milk - Vietnam

  • Vietnam
  • Gross production value in Milk market is projected to amount to €2.19bn in 2025. An annual growth rate of 1.45% is expected (CAGR 2025-2029), resulting in gross production value of €2.32bn in 2029.
  • The import value in Milk market is projected to amount to €28.3m in 2025. An annual growth rate of 9.07% is expected (CAGR 2025–2029).
  • The export value in Milk market is projected to amount to €9.5m in 2025. An annual growth rate of 7.78% is expected (CAGR 2025–2029).

Key regions: United Kingdom, United States, Italy, Spain, Brazil

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Milk Market within the Agriculture Market in Vietnam has shown negligible growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating consumer demand, competition from alternative dairy products, and challenges in supply chain management affecting production efficiency.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in Vietnam are increasingly prioritizing health and wellness, leading to a growing demand for organic and fortified dairy products. This shift is influenced by a rising awareness of nutrition, particularly among younger demographics who seek products that align with their lifestyle choices. Additionally, urbanization and busy lifestyles have prompted a preference for convenient, ready-to-consume dairy options. Cultural shifts towards family health and wellness further drive interest in products that offer functional benefits, such as probiotics and low-sugar alternatives.

Trends in the market:
In Vietnam, the Milk Market is experiencing a notable shift towards organic and fortified dairy products, driven by consumers' increasing focus on health and wellness. Younger demographics, particularly urban dwellers, are prioritizing nutrition and seeking convenient, ready-to-consume options that align with their active lifestyles. This trend is further amplified by a cultural emphasis on family health, prompting demand for functional dairy products enriched with probiotics and low-sugar alternatives. As these preferences evolve, industry stakeholders must adapt their offerings and marketing strategies to meet consumer expectations and capitalize on this growing segment.

Local special circumstances:
In Vietnam, the Milk Market is shaped by a combination of climatic conditions favorable for dairy farming and a rich agricultural tradition that emphasizes fresh, local produce. The country's diverse geography supports varied dairy production, from the northern highlands to the southern plains. Culturally, there is a strong preference for fresh and natural products, with traditional beliefs about the health benefits of dairy. Regulatory frameworks are also evolving, with the government promoting organic farming practices, enhancing consumer trust in the quality and safety of dairy products, thus influencing market dynamics significantly.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Milk Market in Vietnam is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as national economic growth, changes in disposable income, and consumer spending patterns. As the economy continues to expand, rising incomes lead to greater demand for dairy products, particularly premium and organic options. Additionally, global economic trends, including fluctuations in dairy prices and trade agreements, impact import and export dynamics, affecting local producers. Fiscal policies promoting agricultural investment and subsidies further enhance production capabilities. Lastly, increasing urbanization drives a shift toward processed dairy products, reshaping consumer preferences and market strategies in the dairy sector.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2B. Figures are based on the value of gross production in the agriculture market, which values of production are calculated by multiplying gross production by output prices at the farm gate.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, national statistical offices, international institutions, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting agriculture products due to the non-linear growth of this market, especially because of the direct impact of climate change on the market.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

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