Fruit - Vietnam

  • Vietnam
  • Gross production value in Fruit market is projected to amount to €3.96bn in 2025. An annual growth rate of 0.87% is expected (CAGR 2025-2029), resulting in gross production value of €4.10bn in 2029.
  • The import value in Fruit market is projected to amount to €0.9bn in 2025. An annual growth rate of 7.39% is expected (CAGR 2025–2029).
  • The export value in Fruit market is projected to amount to €1.6bn in 2025. An annual growth rate of -4.83% is expected (CAGR 2025–2029).

Key regions: United States, United Kingdom, Brazil, Spain, Italy

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Fruit Market in Vietnam's Agriculture sector has shown negligible growth, influenced by factors such as climate challenges, fluctuating consumer preferences, and increased competition from imported fruits, which hinder the expansion of local production and sales.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in Vietnam's Fruit Market are increasingly prioritizing health-conscious choices, resulting in a growing demand for organic and locally sourced fruits. This trend is influenced by a rising awareness of nutrition and wellness, especially among younger demographics who are more inclined to adopt sustainable lifestyles. Additionally, the urbanization of Vietnam's population has led to a preference for convenient shopping options, such as online fruit delivery services, reflecting a shift towards a more modern and fast-paced lifestyle.

Trends in the market:
In Vietnam, the Fruit Market is experiencing a significant shift towards organic and locally sourced options, driven by consumers' increasing health consciousness. This trend is particularly pronounced among younger demographics, who prioritize sustainability and nutrition in their purchasing decisions. Additionally, urbanization is pushing the market towards more convenient shopping solutions, such as online fruit delivery services, catering to a fast-paced lifestyle. These developments highlight the importance of adapting marketing strategies to meet evolving consumer preferences, presenting opportunities for stakeholders to innovate and capture market share in a competitive landscape.

Local special circumstances:
In Vietnam, the Fruit Market is influenced by the country's diverse climate and rich agricultural heritage, allowing for a wide variety of tropical fruits. Local festivals and culinary traditions further drive demand for specific fruits, fostering a strong connection between consumers and their regional produce. Additionally, government initiatives promoting organic farming and sustainable agriculture are reshaping market dynamics, encouraging farmers to adopt eco-friendly practices. This unique blend of cultural appreciation and regulatory support positions Vietnam's fruit market to cater to health-conscious consumers while preserving local traditions.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The performance of Vietnam's Fruit Market is significantly shaped by macroeconomic factors such as global trade dynamics, domestic economic stability, and agricultural policies. The country's ongoing economic growth, coupled with rising disposable incomes, enhances consumer purchasing power, fostering demand for diverse fruit varieties. Additionally, international trade agreements open up export opportunities, allowing Vietnamese fruits to penetrate global markets. Government initiatives aimed at supporting sustainable agriculture and organic farming practices further incentivize local farmers, aligning production with consumer preferences for health-conscious choices. Fluctuations in climate conditions and global commodity prices also affect supply chains, thereby influencing market stability and pricing.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2B. Figures are based on the value of gross production in the agriculture market, which values of production are calculated by multiplying gross production by output prices at the farm gate.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, national statistical offices, international institutions, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting agriculture products due to the non-linear growth of this market, especially because of the direct impact of climate change on the market.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Visión general

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  • Methodology
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