Cereals - Worldwide

  • Worldwide
  • Gross production value in Cereals market is projected to amount to €1.00tn in 2025. An annual growth rate of 3.33% is expected (CAGR 2025-2029), resulting in gross production value of €1.14tn in 2029.
  • The import value in Cereals market is projected to amount to €142.3bn in 2025. An annual growth rate of 4.32% is expected (CAGR 2025–2029).
  • The export value in Cereals market is projected to amount to €139.9bn in 2025. An annual growth rate of 4.42% is expected (CAGR 2025–2029).

Key regions: United States, Brazil, Italy, Spain, Germany

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Cereals Market within the Agriculture sector is witnessing considerable growth globally, influenced by factors such as fluctuating crop yields, changing consumer preferences towards healthier options, and increasing competition from alternative grains and substitutes.

Customer preferences:
Consumers are increasingly gravitating towards whole grains and organic cereals, reflecting a broader desire for health-conscious food choices. This trend is particularly pronounced among younger demographics, who prioritize nutritional value and sustainability in their diets. Additionally, the rise of plant-based diets is influencing cereal formulations, with brands innovating to include functional ingredients like protein and fiber. Cultural influences are also shaping preferences, as global flavors and ethnic-inspired cereals gain popularity, driving diversification in product offerings.

Trends in the market:
In the global Cereals Market, there is a notable shift towards whole grains and organic options, as consumers increasingly prioritize health and sustainability. This trend is particularly strong among millennials and Gen Z, who are seeking nutritious, eco-friendly choices. The rise of plant-based diets is also prompting brands to innovate their cereal formulations by incorporating added protein and fiber. Furthermore, the popularity of global flavors is leading to a diversification of product offerings, as companies aim to cater to evolving consumer tastes and cultural influences, presenting both challenges and opportunities for industry stakeholders.

Local special circumstances:
In the United States, the Cereals Market is significantly influenced by the strong emphasis on health and wellness, with consumers favoring products that are low in sugar and high in nutritional value. This focus is complemented by strict FDA regulations on labeling and health claims, which shape product formulations. In contrast, markets in Southeast Asia are seeing increased demand for culturally relevant flavors, as local tastes drive innovation in cereal offerings, with brands incorporating traditional ingredients like rice and coconut to appeal to regional preferences.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Cereals Market is shaped by macroeconomic factors including global trade dynamics, consumer spending trends, and agricultural policies. In regions like North America, robust economic growth and rising disposable incomes encourage consumers to invest in premium, health-focused cereal products. Conversely, in emerging markets, fluctuating commodity prices and economic volatility can affect affordability and access to cereals. Additionally, government subsidies for agriculture and investments in sustainable farming practices are pivotal in influencing supply chains and pricing. Overall, these factors collectively determine the market's performance and innovation trajectory.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2B. Figures are based on the value of gross production in the agriculture market, which values of production are calculated by multiplying gross production by output prices at the farm gate.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, national statistical offices, international institutions, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting agriculture products due to the non-linear growth of this market, especially because of the direct impact of climate change on the market.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Visión general

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  • Analyst Opinion
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  • Methodology
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